Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Cynthia Calvillo won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2017·Buffalo, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cynthia Calvillo wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Cynthia Calvillo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cynthia Calvillo enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Cynthia Calvillo threatens submissions; Pearl Gonzalez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Cynthia Calvillo has 77pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Pearl Gonzalez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cynthia Calvillo
Red Corner
VS
Pearl Gonzalez
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
162.56 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cynthia CalvilloL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 20L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Sep 21L
KOvs Andrea Lee · Nov 21L
vs Nina Nunes · Aug 22L
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 23Pearl Gonzalez
oldest →latest
L
vs Poliana Botelho · Oct 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cynthia CalvilloMetricPearl Gonzalez
4.41
Strikes / min
2.23
4.12
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
64%
Strike defense
57%
1.80
TDs / 15 min
1.04
77%
Takedown defense
0%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap-1.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cynthia CalvilloPearl Gonzalez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cynthia Calvillo(10 fights)Pearl Gonzalez(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Cynthia Calvillo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12
Pearl Gonzalez
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach—
Fights2