Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Cynthia Calvillo won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 17, 2018·Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Argentina
Style matchupCynthia Calvillo: Pressure fightervsPoliana Botelho: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Cynthia Calvillo wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Cynthia Calvillo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cynthia Calvillo enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Poliana Botelho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cynthia Calvillo threatens submissions; Poliana Botelho has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Cynthia Calvillo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Cynthia Calvillo
Red Corner
VS
Poliana Botelho
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'8"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cynthia CalvilloL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 20L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Sep 21L
KOvs Andrea Lee · Nov 21L
vs Nina Nunes · Aug 22L
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 23Poliana BotelhoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Syuri Kondo · May 18W
vs Lauren Mueller · Apr 19L
vs Gillian Robertson · Oct 20L
vs Luana Carolina · May 21L
SUBvs Karine Silva · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cynthia CalvilloMetricPoliana Botelho
4.41
Strikes / min
2.90
4.12
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
64%
Strike defense
54%
1.80
TDs / 15 min
0.85
77%
Takedown defense
76%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cynthia CalvilloPoliana Botelho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cynthia Calvillo(10 fights)Poliana Botelho(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.92.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Cynthia Calvillo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12
Poliana Botelho
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7