Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Gustafsson won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 16, 2010·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupCyrille Diabate: Elusive strikervsAlexander Gustafsson: Pressure fighter
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Cyrille Diabate wins(68.2%)
Actual result: Alexander Gustafsson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alexander Gustafsson has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cyrille Diabate (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cyrille Diabate
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Gustafsson
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
52
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'6"
Height
6'5"
205.74 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cyrille DiabateL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Anthony Perosh · Nov 11W
vs Tom DeBlass · Apr 12W
SUBvs Chad Griggs · Nov 12L
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Feb 13L
SUBvs Ilir Latifi · Mar 14Alexander GustafssonL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · May 17L
KOvs Jon Jones · Dec 18L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 19L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jul 20L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cyrille DiabateMetricAlexander Gustafsson
4.06
Strikes / min
4.03
1.78
Strikes absorbed / min
3.53
60%
Strike defense
51%
1.17
TDs / 15 min
1.53
53%
Takedown defense
83%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.28Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cyrille DiabateAlexander Gustafsson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cyrille Diabate(8 fights)Alexander Gustafsson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.0-32.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cyrille Diabate
StanceSouthpaw
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights8
Alexander Gustafsson
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights17