Stephen ThompsonvsGeoff Neal

UFC Event · Saturday, December 19, 2020 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Geoff Neal wins(50.7%)

Actual result: Stephen Thompson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Stephen Thompson

Red Corner

Geoff Neal

Blue Corner

-103

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-117

(54%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.2

Sig. Strikes

4.9

0.3

Takedowns

0.5

0.0

Sub Attempts

0.2

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+10.5-10.5

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+42.0-42.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.80.8

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.6-1.6

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

Stephen Thompson

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights21

Geoff Neal

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights14