Steve GarciavsMelquizael Costa

UFC Event · Saturday, December 9, 2023 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Steve Garcia wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Steve Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Steve Garcia

Red Corner

Melquizael Costa

Blue Corner

+500

(17%)

Vegas Odds

-810

(89%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

5.0

Sig. Strikes

3.5

1.3

Takedowns

2.5

0.6

Sub Attempts

1.1

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+17.1-17.1

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+98.0-98.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

Steve Garcia

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Melquizael Costa

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9