Terrance McKinneyvsKyle Nelson

UFC Event · Saturday, March 28, 2026 · Seattle, Washington, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(67.1%)

Actual result: Terrance McKinney wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Terrance McKinney

Red Corner

Kyle Nelson

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+118

(46%)

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

5'10"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

6.5

Sig. Strikes

3.6

3.3

Takedowns

1.2

2.1

Sub Attempts

0.5

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+14.5-14.5

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-49.049.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.60.6

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.0-0.0

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.4-0.4

Terrance McKinney

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13

Kyle Nelson

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11