Christian RodriguezvsMelquizael Costa

UFC Event · Saturday, March 29, 2025 · Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico

Model Prediction: Christian Rodriguez wins(68.2%)

Actual result: Melquizael Costa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Christian Rodriguez

Red Corner

Melquizael Costa

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+168

(37%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.9

Sig. Strikes

4.4

1.8

Takedowns

2.0

1.1

Sub Attempts

1.1

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+29.8-29.8

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+42.0-42.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

0.00.0

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

Christian Rodriguez

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Melquizael Costa

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9