Geoff NealvsCarlos Prates

UFC Event · Saturday, August 16, 2025 · Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Geoff Neal wins(63.0%)

Actual result: Carlos Prates wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Geoff Neal

Red Corner

Carlos Prates

Blue Corner

+162

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'11"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

5.0

Sig. Strikes

3.8

0.5

Takedowns

0.2

0.1

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+18.9-18.9

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+182.0-182.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.00.0

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

Geoff Neal

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights14

Carlos Prates

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights7