Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Alex Caceres won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 11, 2012·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Style matchupDamacio Page: WrestlervsAlex Caceres: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Damacio Page wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Alex Caceres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Caceres has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alex Caceres has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
- Alex Caceres has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Damacio Page
Red Corner
VS
Alex Caceres
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
43
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'10"
167.64 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Damacio PageL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brian Bowles · Mar 11L
SUBvs Brad Pickett · Apr 12Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Damacio PageMetricAlex Caceres
2.05
Strikes / min
4.21
2.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
51%
Strike defense
62%
2.63
TDs / 15 min
0.54
23%
Takedown defense
64%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.42Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Damacio PageAlex Caceres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Damacio Page(3 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.41.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Damacio Page
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29