Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Gunnar Nelson won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 29, 2012·Nottingham, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: DaMarques Johnson wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Gunnar Nelson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gunnar Nelson threatens submissions; DaMarques Johnson has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Gunnar Nelson has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gunnar Nelson (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
DaMarques Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Gunnar Nelson
Blue Corner
+310
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-340
(77%)
43
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
DaMarques JohnsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mike Guymon · Jan 11L
KOvs Amir Sadollah · Mar 11W
KOvs Clay Harvison · Nov 11L
SUBvs John Maguire · Apr 12L
KOvs Mike Swick · Aug 12Gunnar Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 19W
vs Takashi Sato · Mar 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Mar 23L
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
DaMarques JohnsonMetricGunnar Nelson
2.11
Strikes / min
1.77
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
51%
Strike defense
48%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
2.00
19%
Takedown defense
68%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.64evenly matched on net striking-1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
DaMarques JohnsonGunnar Nelson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
DaMarques Johnson(8 fights)Gunnar Nelson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.519.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
DaMarques Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Gunnar Nelson
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16