Welterweight
3 Rounds
John Maguire won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2012·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Model Prediction: DaMarques Johnson wins(50.2%)
Actual result: John Maguire wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Maguire enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Maguire threatens submissions; DaMarques Johnson has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- John Maguire has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Maguire has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Maguire (53.5%).
- DaMarques Johnson has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
DaMarques Johnson
Red Corner
VS
John Maguire
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
DaMarques JohnsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mike Guymon · Jan 11L
KOvs Amir Sadollah · Mar 11W
KOvs Clay Harvison · Nov 11L
KOvs Mike Swick · Aug 12L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Sep 12John MaguireL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justin Edwards · Nov 11L
vs John Hathaway · Sep 12L
vs Matthew Riddle · Nov 12L
vs Mitch Clarke · Jun 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
DaMarques JohnsonMetricJohn Maguire
2.11
Strikes / min
1.41
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
51%
Strike defense
65%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
2.80
19%
Takedown defense
77%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.64evenly matched on net striking-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
DaMarques JohnsonJohn Maguire
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
DaMarques Johnson(8 fights)John Maguire(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.11.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
DaMarques Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
John Maguire
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5