Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Brian Kelleher won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 21, 2017·Gdansk, Poland, Poland
Style matchupDamian Stasiak: WrestlervsBrian Kelleher: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Damian Stasiak wins(59.0%)
Actual result: Brian Kelleher wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Damian Stasiak threatens submissions; Brian Kelleher has lost 56% of fights by sub.
- Brian Kelleher has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (52.9%).
- Damian Stasiak has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Damian Stasiak
Red Corner
VS
Brian Kelleher
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
36
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Damian StasiakL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Yaotzin Meza · Apr 15W
SUBvs Filip Pejic · Apr 16W
SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 16L
vs Pedro Munhoz · May 17L
vs Liu Pingyuan · Jul 18Brian KelleherL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kevin Croom · Jan 22L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 23L
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Damian StasiakMetricBrian Kelleher
1.86
Strikes / min
3.31
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
52%
Strike defense
54%
2.64
TDs / 15 min
1.68
43%
Takedown defense
60%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24evenly matched on net striking-1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Damian StasiakBrian Kelleher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Damian Stasiak(6 fights)Brian Kelleher(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.52.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+55.0-55.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Damian Stasiak
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Brian Kelleher
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17