Lightweight
3 Rounds
Damien Brown won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 26, 2016·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Damien Brown wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Damien Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Damien Brown enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jon Tuck has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Tuck has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Damien Brown
Red Corner
VS
Jon Tuck
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Damien BrownL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alan Patrick · Mar 16W
KOvs Cesar Arzamendia · Jul 16L
KOvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 17L
vs Frank Camacho · Nov 17L
vs Dong Hyun Ma · Feb 18Jon Tuck
oldest →latest
L
vs Kevin Lee · Sep 14W
SUBvs Tae Hyun Bang · May 15L
vs Josh Emmett · May 16W
SUBvs Takanori Gomi · Jun 17L
vs Drew Dober · Aug 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Damien BrownMetricJon Tuck
3.66
Strikes / min
3.00
4.86
Strikes absorbed / min
3.74
50%
Strike defense
60%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
0.42
53%
Takedown defense
50%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.20evenly matched on net striking-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Damien BrownJon Tuck
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Damien Brown(6 fights)Jon Tuck(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.7-2.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-83.083.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.71.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Damien Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Jon Tuck
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9