Lightweight
3 Rounds
Damir Ismagulov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 31, 2019·Shenzhen, Guangdong, China, China
Style matchupDamir Ismagulov: Well-roundedvsThiago Moises: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Damir Ismagulov wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Damir Ismagulov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Damir Ismagulov has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Damir Ismagulov has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Damir Ismagulov
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Moises
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
35
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Damir IsmagulovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joel Alvarez · Feb 19W
vs Rafael Alves · May 21W
vs Guram Kutateladze · Jun 22L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 22L
vs Grant Dawson · Jul 23Thiago Moises
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 23W
KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Mar 24L
vs Ludovit Klein · Jun 24W
vs Trey Ogden · Jan 25L
KOvs Jared Gordon · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Damir IsmagulovMetricThiago Moises
3.36
Strikes / min
2.52
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
61%
Strike defense
52%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
1.37
70%
Takedown defense
52%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.92Δ 2.80 — meaningful gap-1.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Damir IsmagulovThiago Moises
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Damir Ismagulov(7 fights)Thiago Moises(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.9-33.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Damir Ismagulov
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Thiago Moises
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15