Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Mario Bautista won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 19, 2023·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupDa'Mon Blackshear: Submission grapplervsMario Bautista: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Da'Mon Blackshear wins(52.6%)
Actual result: Mario Bautista wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Da'Mon Blackshear threatens submissions; Mario Bautista has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Da'Mon Blackshear has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Da'Mon Blackshear
Red Corner
VS
Mario Bautista
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-205
(67%)
31
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Da'Mon Blackshear
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Montel Jackson · Jul 24W
SUBvs Cody Stamann · Nov 24W
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Mar 25W
vs Alatengheili · Apr 25L
vs Davey Grant · Jul 25Mario Bautista
oldest →latest
W
vs Ricky Simon · Jan 24W
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 24W
vs Patchy Mix · Jun 25L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25W
SUBvs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Da'Mon BlackshearMetricMario Bautista
4.33
Strikes / min
5.30
4.19
Strikes absorbed / min
3.98
52%
Strike defense
54%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
1.91
71%
Takedown defense
55%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.14Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+1.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Da'Mon BlackshearMario Bautista
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Da'Mon Blackshear(9 fights)Mario Bautista(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-47.147.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Da'Mon Blackshear
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9
Mario Bautista
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14