Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jean Matsumoto won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 6, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDan Argueta: WrestlervsJean Matsumoto: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Dan Argueta wins(68.9%)
Actual result: Jean Matsumoto wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dan Argueta (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dan Argueta
Red Corner
VS
Jean Matsumoto
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
32
Age
26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan Argueta
oldest →latest
L
vs Damon Jackson · Jun 22W
vs Nick Aguirre · Jan 23L
vs Cody Haddon · Oct 24Jean Matsumoto
oldest →latest
W
vs Brad Katona · Oct 24L
vs Rob Font · Feb 25W
vs Miles Johns · Aug 25L
vs Farid Basharat · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan ArguetaMetricJean Matsumoto
2.48
Strikes / min
5.37
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
5.41
50%
Strike defense
47%
4.36
TDs / 15 min
3.00
55%
Takedown defense
56%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.96evenly matched on net striking-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dan ArguetaJean Matsumoto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Argueta(4 fights)Jean Matsumoto(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
Dan Argueta
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4
Jean Matsumoto
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5