Welterweight
3 Rounds
Dan Hardy won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 29, 2012·Nottingham, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Amir Sadollah wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Dan Hardy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Amir Sadollah has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Dan Hardy
Red Corner
VS
Amir Sadollah
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
44
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan Hardy
oldest →latest
L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Mar 10L
KOvs Carlos Condit · Oct 10L
vs Anthony Johnson · Mar 11L
SUBvs Chris Lytle · Aug 11W
KOvs Duane Ludwig · May 12Amir Sadollah
oldest →latest
W
vs Peter Sobotta · Nov 10W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Mar 11L
vs Duane Ludwig · Aug 11W
vs Jorge Lopez · May 12L
vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Sep 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan HardyMetricAmir Sadollah
2.46
Strikes / min
4.71
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
0.57
35%
Takedown defense
60%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.98Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dan HardyAmir Sadollah
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Hardy(6 fights)Amir Sadollah(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-62.062.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-11.011.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Dan Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Amir Sadollah
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7