Welterweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Condit won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 16, 2010·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Carlos Condit wins(62.9%)
Actual result: Carlos Condit wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Dan Hardy
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Condit
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
44
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan HardyW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Mar 10L
vs Anthony Johnson · Mar 11L
SUBvs Chris Lytle · Aug 11W
KOvs Duane Ludwig · May 12W
vs Amir Sadollah · Sep 12Carlos Condit
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · Apr 18L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 18W
vs Court McGee · Oct 20W
vs Matt Brown · Jan 21L
vs Max Griffin · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan HardyMetricCarlos Condit
2.46
Strikes / min
3.66
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
0.59
35%
Takedown defense
38%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.98Δ 1.97 — meaningful gap+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dan HardyCarlos Condit
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Hardy(6 fights)Carlos Condit(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.037.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Dan Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Carlos Condit
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17