Welterweight
3 Rounds
Dan Hardy won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 26, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Dan Hardy wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Dan Hardy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dan Hardy is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Duane Ludwig has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Duane Ludwig has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Dan Hardy has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Dan Hardy
Red Corner
VS
Duane Ludwig
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
44
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan Hardy
oldest →latest
L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Mar 10L
KOvs Carlos Condit · Oct 10L
vs Anthony Johnson · Mar 11L
SUBvs Chris Lytle · Aug 11W
vs Amir Sadollah · Sep 12Duane LudwigL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 10W
vs Nick Osipczak · Nov 10W
vs Amir Sadollah · Aug 11L
SUBvs Josh Neer · Jan 12L
KOvs Che Mills · Sep 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan HardyMetricDuane Ludwig
2.46
Strikes / min
4.62
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
51%
Strike defense
57%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
0.43
35%
Takedown defense
59%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.98Δ 2.55 — meaningful gap+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dan HardyDuane Ludwig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Hardy(6 fights)Duane Ludwig(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-66.866.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+159.0-159.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Dan Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Duane Ludwig
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6