Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gegard Mousasi won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 24, 2015·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Model Prediction: Gegard Mousasi wins(61.2%)
Actual result: Gegard Mousasi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gegard Mousasi enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gegard Mousasi has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Dan Henderson
Red Corner
VS
Gegard Mousasi
Blue Corner
+380
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-430
(81%)
55
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan Henderson
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 14W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 15L
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Nov 15W
KOvs Hector Lombard · Jun 16L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 16Gegard MousasiW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Thales Leites · Feb 16W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Jul 16W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Oct 16W
KOvs Uriah Hall · Nov 16W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan HendersonMetricGegard Mousasi
2.44
Strikes / min
3.75
2.70
Strikes absorbed / min
1.21
51%
Strike defense
68%
1.52
TDs / 15 min
1.59
57%
Takedown defense
59%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26Δ 2.80 — meaningful gap+2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dan HendersonGegard Mousasi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Henderson(10 fights)Gegard Mousasi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.427.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+104.0-104.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Dan Henderson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11
Gegard Mousasi
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12