Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dan Henderson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 4, 2016·Los Angeles, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Hector Lombard wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Dan Henderson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Hector Lombard has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dan Henderson
Red Corner
VS
Hector Lombard
Blue Corner
+265
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-325
(76%)
55
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan HendersonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 14L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Jan 15W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 15L
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Nov 15L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 16Hector LombardL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Neil Magny · Mar 16L
vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17L
vs CB Dollaway · Mar 18L
vs Thales Leites · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan HendersonMetricHector Lombard
2.44
Strikes / min
3.02
2.70
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
51%
Strike defense
53%
1.52
TDs / 15 min
1.69
57%
Takedown defense
77%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dan HendersonHector Lombard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Henderson(10 fights)Hector Lombard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-49.749.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Dan Henderson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11
Hector Lombard
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11