Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michael Chandler won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, January 23, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupDan Hooker: Pressure fightervsMichael Chandler: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Michael Chandler wins(60.6%)
Actual result: Michael Chandler wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chandler enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dan Hooker has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (52.9%).
- Dan Hooker has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Dan Hooker
Red Corner
VS
Michael Chandler
Blue Corner
-134
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
36
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan HookerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22W
vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23W
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24L
SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26Michael ChandlerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Justin Gaethje · Nov 21W
KOvs Tony Ferguson · May 22L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Nov 22L
vs Charles Oliveira · Nov 24L
KOvs Paddy Pimblett · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan HookerMetricMichael Chandler
4.82
Strikes / min
4.04
4.94
Strikes absorbed / min
4.52
49%
Strike defense
43%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
1.96
77%
Takedown defense
61%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dan HookerMichael Chandler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Hooker(10 fights)Michael Chandler(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+98.1-98.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Dan Hooker
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights24
Michael Chandler
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7