Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dan Ige has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan IgeL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Andre Fili · Feb 24L
vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24W
KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25L
vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26 Diego Lopes
oldest →W
vs Brian Ortega · Sep 24L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 25W
KOvs Jean Silva · Sep 25L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Jan 26W
KOvs Steve Garcia · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan IgeMetricDiego Lopes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dan IgeDiego Lopes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Ige(10 fights)Diego Lopes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -61.2|Blue +61.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Diego Lopes edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Round 2Diego Lopes edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:10Control
Round 3Dan Ige edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control1:39
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:33Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
