Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dan Miller won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 28, 2010·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupDan Miller: Submission grapplervsJohn Salter: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: John Salter wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Dan Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Salter has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Salter has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Salter (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Dan Miller
Red Corner
VS
John Salter
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
44
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan MillerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nate Marquardt · Mar 11L
vs Rousimar Palhares · Aug 11W
SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 12L
KOvs Jordan Mein · Mar 13L
vs Trevor Smith · Jul 15John Salter
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jason MacDonald · May 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan MillerMetricJohn Salter
2.03
Strikes / min
1.68
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
1.68
49%
Strike defense
68%
1.67
TDs / 15 min
2.85
47%
Takedown defense
66%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.03Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dan MillerJohn Salter
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Miller(8 fights)John Salter(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.037.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Dan Miller
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8
John Salter
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2