Middleweight
3 Rounds
Trevor Smith won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, July 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDan Miller: Submission grapplervsTrevor Smith: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Trevor Smith wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Trevor Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Dan Miller
Red Corner
VS
Trevor Smith
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
44
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan Miller
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Doerksen · Dec 10L
vs Nate Marquardt · Mar 11L
vs Rousimar Palhares · Aug 11W
SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 12L
KOvs Jordan Mein · Mar 13Trevor SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · May 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · May 18L
vs Zak Cummings · Dec 18L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Dec 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan MillerMetricTrevor Smith
2.03
Strikes / min
3.29
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
49%
Strike defense
51%
1.67
TDs / 15 min
1.70
47%
Takedown defense
60%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.03Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dan MillerTrevor Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Miller(8 fights)Trevor Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.56.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+602.0-602.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.12.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Dan Miller
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8
Trevor Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12