Flyweight
3 Rounds
Andre Lima won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 15, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Barez: Well-roundedvsAndre Lima: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Daniel Barez wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Andre Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andre Lima enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Barez
Red Corner
VS
Andre Lima
Blue Corner
+380
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-490
(83%)
37
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel Barez
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Jul 23W
vs Victor Altamirano · Sep 24Andre LimaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Igor Severino · Mar 24W
vs Mitch Raposo · Jun 24W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel BarezMetricAndre Lima
3.65
Strikes / min
4.06
5.95
Strikes absorbed / min
2.49
50%
Strike defense
57%
1.93
TDs / 15 min
1.36
80%
Takedown defense
75%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.30Δ 3.87 — meaningful gap+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel BarezAndre Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Barez(3 fights)Andre Lima(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-46.646.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Daniel Barez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3
Andre Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4