Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Daniel Cormier won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, October 3, 2015·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Cormier: Well-roundedvsAlexander Gustafsson: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Daniel Cormier wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Daniel Cormier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alexander Gustafsson has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Cormier
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Gustafsson
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
47
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'5"
182.88 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel CormierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18W
SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19L
vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20Alexander GustafssonL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · May 17L
KOvs Jon Jones · Dec 18L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 19L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jul 20L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel CormierMetricAlexander Gustafsson
4.25
Strikes / min
4.03
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.53
54%
Strike defense
51%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
1.53
80%
Takedown defense
83%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.33evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel CormierAlexander Gustafsson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Alexander Gustafsson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Daniel Cormier
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14
Alexander Gustafsson
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights17