Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Daniel Cormier won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 3, 2018·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Daniel Cormier wins(56.4%)
Actual result: Daniel Cormier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Cormier has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Daniel Cormier has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Derrick Lewis has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Cormier
Red Corner
VS
Derrick Lewis
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+315
(24%)
47
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
182.88 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel CormierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Anthony Johnson · Apr 17W
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19L
vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel CormierMetricDerrick Lewis
4.25
Strikes / min
2.46
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
54%
Strike defense
39%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
0.55
80%
Takedown defense
52%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.33Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel CormierDerrick Lewis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Derrick Lewis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.3-30.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Daniel Cormier
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31