Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Cormier won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 19, 2013·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Daniel Cormier wins(66.3%)
Actual result: Daniel Cormier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Cormier has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Cormier
Red Corner
VS
Roy Nelson
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+435
(19%)
47
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel CormierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18W
SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19L
vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20Roy Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Josh Barnett · Sep 15W
vs Jared Rosholt · Feb 16L
vs Derrick Lewis · Jul 16W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Sep 16L
vs Alexander Volkov · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel CormierMetricRoy Nelson
4.25
Strikes / min
2.18
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
54%
Strike defense
46%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
1.14
80%
Takedown defense
65%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.33Δ 3.94 — meaningful gap-2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel CormierRoy Nelson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Roy Nelson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.12.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Daniel Cormier
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14
Roy Nelson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights18