Middleweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Kelly won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 14, 2015·Broomfield, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Kelly: Well-roundedvsPatrick Walsh: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Daniel Kelly wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Daniel Kelly wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Patrick Walsh has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Kelly
Red Corner
VS
Patrick Walsh
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
48
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel KellyL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Camozzi · Nov 16W
vs Rashad Evans · Mar 17L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Jun 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · Nov 17L
KOvs Tom Breese · May 18Patrick Walsh
oldest →latest
W
vs Daniel Spohn · Jul 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel KellyMetricPatrick Walsh
3.62
Strikes / min
2.03
4.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
61%
Strike defense
64%
1.86
TDs / 15 min
3.00
78%
Takedown defense
100%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.02evenly matched on net striking-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel KellyPatrick Walsh
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Kelly(10 fights)Patrick Walsh(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.6-2.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-124.0124.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Daniel Kelly
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Patrick Walsh
Stance—
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2