Middleweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Kelly won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 14, 2015·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Style matchupDaniel Kelly: Well-roundedvsSteve Montgomery: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Daniel Kelly wins(58.4%)
Actual result: Daniel Kelly wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Kelly has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Steve Montgomery has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Kelly
Red Corner
VS
Steve Montgomery
Blue Corner
+230
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-270
(73%)
48
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'4"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel KellyL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Camozzi · Nov 16W
vs Rashad Evans · Mar 17L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Jun 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · Nov 17L
KOvs Tom Breese · May 18Steve Montgomery
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tony Sims · Jun 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel KellyMetricSteve Montgomery
3.62
Strikes / min
4.85
4.64
Strikes absorbed / min
4.12
61%
Strike defense
47%
1.86
TDs / 15 min
0.00
78%
Takedown defense
64%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.02Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap+0.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel KellySteve Montgomery
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Kelly(10 fights)Steve Montgomery(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.1-36.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Daniel Kelly
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Steve Montgomery
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach—
Fights2