Flyweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Figueiredo won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 30, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Lacerda: WrestlervsFrancisco Figueiredo: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Daniel Lacerda wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Francisco Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Lacerda enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Figueiredo threatens submissions; Daniel Lacerda has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Francisco Figueiredo has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francisco Figueiredo has 76pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Lacerda (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Lacerda
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Figueiredo
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
29
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel LacerdaL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jeff Molina · Oct 21L
KOvs Victor Altamirano · Aug 22L
KOvs CJ Vergara · Mar 23L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Feb 24Francisco FigueiredoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jerome Rivera · Jan 21L
vs Malcolm Gordon · Jul 21L
SUBvs Amir Albazi · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel LacerdaMetricFrancisco Figueiredo
3.95
Strikes / min
2.04
8.28
Strikes absorbed / min
2.59
34%
Strike defense
61%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
2.51
0%
Takedown defense
76%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-4.33Δ 3.78 — meaningful gap-0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel LacerdaFrancisco Figueiredo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Lacerda(5 fights)Francisco Figueiredo(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.412.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Daniel Lacerda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5
Francisco Figueiredo
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4