Flyweight
3 Rounds
Victor Altamirano won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 20, 2022·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Lacerda: WrestlervsVictor Altamirano: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Daniel Lacerda wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Victor Altamirano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Lacerda enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Victor Altamirano is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Daniel Lacerda has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Victor Altamirano has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Victor Altamirano has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Lacerda
Red Corner
VS
Victor Altamirano
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
29
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel LacerdaL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jeff Molina · Oct 21L
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Apr 22L
KOvs CJ Vergara · Mar 23L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Feb 24Victor AltamiranoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Carlos Hernandez · Feb 22W
vs Vinicius Salvador · Mar 23L
vs Tim Elliott · Jun 23L
vs Felipe dos Santos · Feb 24L
vs Daniel Barez · Sep 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel LacerdaMetricVictor Altamirano
3.95
Strikes / min
4.58
8.28
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
34%
Strike defense
53%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
2.88
0%
Takedown defense
63%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-4.33Δ 5.09 — meaningful gap+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel LacerdaVictor Altamirano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Lacerda(5 fights)Victor Altamirano(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.714.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Daniel Lacerda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5
Victor Altamirano
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6