Featherweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Pineda won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, January 20, 2012·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Daniel Pineda wins(74.4%)
Actual result: Daniel Pineda wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Pineda threatens submissions; Pat Schilling has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Daniel Pineda has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Pineda
Red Corner
VS
Pat Schilling
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
40
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel PinedaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 24Pat Schilling
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Holloway · Jun 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel PinedaMetricPat Schilling
2.85
Strikes / min
1.87
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
8.24
45%
Strike defense
52%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
0.00
54%
Takedown defense
0%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41Δ 5.96 — meaningful gap-6.37
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Pineda(10 fights)Pat Schilling(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Daniel Pineda
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Pat Schilling
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights2