Welterweight
3 Rounds
Claude Patrick won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 30, 2011·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupDaniel Roberts: WrestlervsClaude Patrick: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Claude Patrick wins(56.8%)
Actual result: Claude Patrick wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Claude Patrick has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Claude Patrick has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Roberts (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Roberts
Red Corner
VS
Claude Patrick
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
45
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel RobertsL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Forrest Petz · Jul 10W
SUBvs Mike Guymon · Oct 10W
SUBvs Greg Soto · Jan 11L
vs Rich Attonito · Jun 11L
vs Charlie Brenneman · Jan 12Claude Patrick
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 10W
vs James Wilks · Oct 10L
vs Brian Ebersole · Dec 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel RobertsMetricClaude Patrick
0.73
Strikes / min
1.80
2.27
Strikes absorbed / min
0.89
46%
Strike defense
69%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
2.32
40%
Takedown defense
84%
2.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.54Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel RobertsClaude Patrick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Roberts(7 fights)Claude Patrick(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Daniel Roberts
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Claude Patrick
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4