Welterweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Roberts won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 1, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Roberts: WrestlervsGreg Soto: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Greg Soto wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Daniel Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Roberts enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Roberts threatens submissions; Greg Soto has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Roberts (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Roberts
Red Corner
VS
Greg Soto
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
45
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel RobertsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Forrest Petz · Jul 10W
SUBvs Mike Guymon · Oct 10L
vs Claude Patrick · Apr 11L
vs Rich Attonito · Jun 11L
vs Charlie Brenneman · Jan 12Greg Soto
oldest →latest
L
vs Matthew Riddle · Mar 10W
vs Nick Osipczak · Aug 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel RobertsMetricGreg Soto
0.73
Strikes / min
3.21
2.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
46%
Strike defense
52%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
1.49
40%
Takedown defense
44%
2.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.54Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel RobertsGreg Soto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Roberts(7 fights)Greg Soto(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.4-20.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Daniel Roberts
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Greg Soto
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3