Welterweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Rodriguez won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 12, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Rodriguez: Pressure fightervsAlex Morono: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Daniel Rodriguez wins(60.5%)
Actual result: Daniel Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Morono enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Rodriguez has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Rodriguez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Alex Morono
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
39
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel RodriguezW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Nov 22L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25W
vs Kevin Holland · Jul 25Alex MoronoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 23W
vs Court McGee · Apr 24L
vs Niko Price · Jun 24L
KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25L
vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel RodriguezMetricAlex Morono
7.20
Strikes / min
4.90
5.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
57%
Strike defense
55%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
0.32
64%
Takedown defense
47%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.80Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel RodriguezAlex Morono
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.428.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Daniel Rodriguez
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14
Alex Morono
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights23