Welterweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 30, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Rodriguez: Pressure fightervsGabe Green: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Daniel Rodriguez wins(72.1%)
Actual result: Daniel Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Daniel Rodriguez has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gabe Green (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Gabe Green
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+275
(27%)
39
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel RodriguezW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24W
vs Alex Morono · Oct 24W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25W
vs Kevin Holland · Jul 25Gabe Green
oldest →latest
W
vs Philip Rowe · Feb 21W
KOvs Yohan Lainesse · Apr 22L
vs Ian Garry · Jul 22L
KOvs Bryan Battle · May 23W
SUBvs Matheus Camilo · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel RodriguezMetricGabe Green
7.20
Strikes / min
5.60
5.40
Strikes absorbed / min
6.19
57%
Strike defense
47%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
0.71
64%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.80Δ 2.39 — meaningful gap-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel RodriguezGabe Green
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)Gabe Green(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.7-20.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Daniel Rodriguez
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14
Gabe Green
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6