Welterweight
3 Rounds
Nicolas Dalby won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, November 21, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDaniel Rodriguez: Pressure fightervsNicolas Dalby: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Daniel Rodriguez wins(65.9%)
Actual result: Nicolas Dalby wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Rodriguez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Nicolas Dalby
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
39
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel RodriguezW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24W
vs Alex Morono · Oct 24W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25W
vs Kevin Holland · Jul 25Nicolas Dalby
oldest →latest
W
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 23W
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 23L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jun 24L
KOvs Randy Brown · Apr 25W
vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel RodriguezMetricNicolas Dalby
7.20
Strikes / min
3.88
5.40
Strikes absorbed / min
3.51
57%
Strike defense
52%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
0.90
64%
Takedown defense
59%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.80Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel RodriguezNicolas Dalby
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+72.8-72.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Daniel Rodriguez
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14
Nicolas Dalby
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14