Middleweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Sarafian won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 20, 2014·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Daniel Sarafian wins(51.0%)
Actual result: Daniel Sarafian wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Sarafian enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Sarafian is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Antonio Dos Santos has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Daniel Sarafian has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Antonio Dos Santos has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Sarafian
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Dos Santos
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
43
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel SarafianL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs CB Dollaway · Jan 13W
SUBvs Eddie Mendez · Jun 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 13L
SUBvs Kiichi Kunimoto · Jun 14L
KOvs Oluwale Bamgbose · Feb 16Antonio Dos Santos
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Scott Askham · Jun 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel SarafianMetricAntonio Dos Santos
2.23
Strikes / min
5.40
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
58%
Strike defense
43%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.00
53%
Takedown defense
100%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel SarafianAntonio Dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Sarafian(6 fights)Antonio Dos Santos(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-32.332.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Daniel Sarafian
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Antonio Dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2