Middleweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Sarafian won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 8, 2013·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Daniel Sarafian wins(60.5%)
Actual result: Daniel Sarafian wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Sarafian has 47pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Daniel Sarafian has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Sarafian
Red Corner
VS
Eddie Mendez
Blue Corner
-440
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel Sarafian
oldest →latest
L
vs CB Dollaway · Jan 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 13L
SUBvs Kiichi Kunimoto · Jun 14W
KOvs Antonio Dos Santos · Dec 14L
KOvs Oluwale Bamgbose · Feb 16Eddie MendezNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel SarafianMetricEddie Mendez
2.23
Strikes / min
1.71
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
58%
Strike defense
11%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.00
53%
Takedown defense
0%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87evenly matched on net striking-1.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel SarafianEddie Mendez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Sarafian(6 fights)Eddie Mendez(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.418.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Daniel Sarafian
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Eddie Mendez
Stance—
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights1