Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kiichi Kunimoto won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 14, 2014·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Daniel Sarafian wins(64.6%)
Actual result: Kiichi Kunimoto wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Sarafian threatens submissions; Kiichi Kunimoto has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Daniel Sarafian has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Daniel Sarafian has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Sarafian
Red Corner
VS
Kiichi Kunimoto
Blue Corner
-450
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+400
(20%)
43
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel Sarafian
oldest →latest
L
vs CB Dollaway · Jan 13W
SUBvs Eddie Mendez · Jun 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 13W
KOvs Antonio Dos Santos · Dec 14L
KOvs Oluwale Bamgbose · Feb 16Kiichi KunimotoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Luiz Dutra · Jan 14W
vs Richard Walsh · Sep 14L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Feb 15L
vs Zak Ottow · Jun 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel SarafianMetricKiichi Kunimoto
2.23
Strikes / min
1.87
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
58%
Strike defense
41%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
1.59
53%
Takedown defense
28%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel SarafianKiichi Kunimoto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Sarafian(6 fights)Kiichi Kunimoto(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.134.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Daniel Sarafian
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Kiichi Kunimoto
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5