Middleweight
3 Rounds
Oluwale Bamgbose won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, February 21, 2016·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Daniel Sarafian wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Oluwale Bamgbose wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Oluwale Bamgbose enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Sarafian is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Oluwale Bamgbose has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Daniel Sarafian has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Oluwale Bamgbose (52.9%).
- Oluwale Bamgbose has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Daniel Sarafian
Red Corner
VS
Oluwale Bamgbose
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
43
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel Sarafian
oldest →latest
L
vs CB Dollaway · Jan 13W
SUBvs Eddie Mendez · Jun 13L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 13L
SUBvs Kiichi Kunimoto · Jun 14W
KOvs Antonio Dos Santos · Dec 14Oluwale BamgboseL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Aug 15L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Apr 16L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Jun 17L
KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Dec 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel SarafianMetricOluwale Bamgbose
2.23
Strikes / min
2.45
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.94
53%
Takedown defense
37%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87evenly matched on net striking-0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daniel SarafianOluwale Bamgbose
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Sarafian(6 fights)Oluwale Bamgbose(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.3-6.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+231.0-231.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Daniel Sarafian
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Oluwale Bamgbose
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5