Middleweight
3 Rounds
Djorden Santos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 18, 2025·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupDanny Barlow: Pressure fightervsDjorden Santos: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Danny Barlow wins(69.6%)
Actual result: Djorden Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Barlow has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Danny Barlow (53.5%).
- Danny Barlow has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Danny Barlow
Red Corner
VS
Djorden Santos
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
30
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny Barlow
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Quinlan · Feb 24W
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Aug 24L
KOvs Sam Patterson · Mar 25Djorden Santos
oldest →latest
L
vs Ozzy Diaz · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny BarlowMetricDjorden Santos
5.81
Strikes / min
6.64
4.65
Strikes absorbed / min
6.35
52%
Strike defense
48%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.51
100%
Takedown defense
85%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.16evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Danny BarlowDjorden Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Barlow(4 fights)Djorden Santos(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.7-35.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Danny Barlow
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4
Djorden Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2