Lightweight
3 Rounds
Danny Castillo won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 26, 2014·Baltimore, Maryland, USA, USA
Style matchupDanny Castillo: WrestlervsCharlie Brenneman: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Charlie Brenneman wins(53.5%)
Actual result: Danny Castillo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Castillo enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Charlie Brenneman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Danny Castillo has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Danny Castillo
Red Corner
VS
Charlie Brenneman
Blue Corner
-355
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
46
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny CastilloL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Edson Barboza · Dec 13L
vs Tony Ferguson · Aug 14L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jan 15L
vs Jim Miller · Jul 15L
vs Nik Lentz · Dec 15Charlie BrennemanL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Daniel Roberts · Jan 12L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12L
KOvs Kyle Noke · Sep 12L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14L
SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny CastilloMetricCharlie Brenneman
2.57
Strikes / min
1.52
1.96
Strikes absorbed / min
1.55
62%
Strike defense
46%
2.95
TDs / 15 min
4.23
63%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61evenly matched on net striking-0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Danny CastilloCharlie Brenneman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Castillo(10 fights)Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+72.0-72.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+32.0-32.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Danny Castillo
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights14
Charlie Brenneman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11