Lightweight
3 Rounds
Edson Barboza won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 14, 2013·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Style matchupDanny Castillo: WrestlervsEdson Barboza: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Danny Castillo wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Edson Barboza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Castillo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Danny Castillo
Red Corner
VS
Edson Barboza
Blue Corner
+255
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
46
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny CastilloL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Charlie Brenneman · Apr 14L
vs Tony Ferguson · Aug 14L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jan 15L
vs Jim Miller · Jul 15L
vs Nik Lentz · Dec 15Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny CastilloMetricEdson Barboza
2.57
Strikes / min
4.14
1.96
Strikes absorbed / min
4.68
62%
Strike defense
55%
2.95
TDs / 15 min
0.43
63%
Takedown defense
73%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Danny CastilloEdson Barboza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Castillo(10 fights)Edson Barboza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.47.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Danny Castillo
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights14
Edson Barboza
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights32