Lightweight
3 Rounds
Danny Castillo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2013·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupDanny Castillo: WrestlervsTim Means: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Danny Castillo wins(61.1%)
Actual result: Danny Castillo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Castillo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tim Means has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Danny Castillo
Red Corner
VS
Tim Means
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
46
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny CastilloL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Charlie Brenneman · Apr 14L
vs Tony Ferguson · Aug 14L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jan 15L
vs Jim Miller · Jul 15L
vs Nik Lentz · Dec 15Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Griffin · Oct 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny CastilloMetricTim Means
2.57
Strikes / min
5.04
1.96
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
62%
Strike defense
60%
2.95
TDs / 15 min
1.14
63%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61evenly matched on net striking+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Danny CastilloTim Means
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Castillo(10 fights)Tim Means(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.2-36.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Danny Castillo
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights14
Tim Means
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights29