Welterweight
3 Rounds
Danny Roberts won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, July 22, 2018·Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, Germany
Style matchupDanny Roberts: StrikervsDavid Zawada: Submission grappler
Striker must keep this standing. Grappler wins big if it hits the floor.
Model Prediction: Danny Roberts wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Danny Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Roberts enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Danny Roberts (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Danny Roberts
Red Corner
VS
David Zawada
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
38
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny RobertsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Zelim Imadaev · Nov 19W
vs Ramazan Emeev · Oct 21L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 22L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 22L
KOvs Jonny Parsons · Jul 23David ZawadaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Li Jingliang · Nov 18W
SUBvs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Nov 19L
vs Ramazan Emeev · Jan 21L
vs Alex Morono · Sep 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny RobertsMetricDavid Zawada
3.18
Strikes / min
3.84
3.73
Strikes absorbed / min
4.54
50%
Strike defense
55%
0.24
TDs / 15 min
0.97
57%
Takedown defense
57%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.55evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Danny RobertsDavid Zawada
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Roberts(10 fights)David Zawada(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.6-32.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.248.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Danny Roberts
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14
David Zawada
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5