Featherweight
3 Rounds
Danny Silva won · S-DEC R3
DS
LA
Danny SilvavsLucas Almeida
UFC Event · Saturday, March 1, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDanny Silva: WrestlervsLucas Almeida: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Danny Silva wins(79.5%)
Actual result: Danny Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Silva has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Danny Silva has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Danny Silva (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Danny Silva
Red Corner
VS
Lucas Almeida
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
29
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny Silva
oldest →latest
W
vs Josh Culibao · Mar 24L
vs Kevin Vallejos · Aug 25W
KOvs Kurtis Campbell · Mar 26Lucas Almeida
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Michael Trizano · Jun 22L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Jun 23L
KOvs Andre Fili · Dec 23W
vs Timmy Cuamba · Jun 24L
KOvs Michael Aswell Jr. · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny SilvaMetricLucas Almeida
6.35
Strikes / min
4.94
7.10
Strikes absorbed / min
5.36
61%
Strike defense
44%
2.06
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
53%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.75evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Danny SilvaLucas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Silva(4 fights)Lucas Almeida(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.9-14.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Danny Silva
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4
Lucas Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6