Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Daria Zhelezniakova won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 21, 2025·Baku, Azerbaijan, Azerbaijan
Style matchupDaria Zhelezniakova: StrikervsMelissa Mullins: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Daria Zhelezniakova wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Daria Zhelezniakova wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daria Zhelezniakova has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Melissa Mullins has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Daria Zhelezniakova
Red Corner
VS
Melissa Mullins
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
30
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daria Zhelezniakova
oldest →latest
W
vs Montserrat Rendon · Mar 24L
SUBvs Ailin Perez · Sep 24Melissa Mullins
oldest →latest
W
vs Irina Alekseeva · Oct 23L
KOvs Nora Cornolle · Apr 24W
KOvs Klaudia Sygula · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daria ZhelezniakovaMetricMelissa Mullins
4.13
Strikes / min
3.71
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
4.39
64%
Strike defense
52%
0.31
TDs / 15 min
2.03
50%
Takedown defense
85%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daria ZhelezniakovaMelissa Mullins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daria Zhelezniakova(3 fights)Melissa Mullins(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.415.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Daria Zhelezniakova
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3
Melissa Mullins
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4